Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, says findings from a recent survey indicate that the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) upcoming presidential primary will be much closer than the party’s 2023 contest.
In the 2023 NPP primaries, the former Vice President, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, secured a decisive victory with 61.47 per cent of the votes, while his closest challenger, former Assin Central MP, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, polled 37.4 per cent.
However, speaking on TV3’s Key Points on Saturday, December 27, ahead of the party’s January 31, 2026, primary, Mr Dankwah said, “The election will be closer than the last time.”
A December survey conducted by Global InfoAnalytics shows that Dr Bawumia is edging closer to the victory threshold. Five candidates, including the former Vice President, are contesting the primary.
In the “likely voters” survey, Dr Bawumia leads with 45 per cent, followed by Kennedy Agyapong with 31 per cent. Bryan Acheampong polled 3 per cent, while Dr Osei Yaw Adutwum and Kwabena Agyapong recorded near-zero support.
Despite Dr Bawumia’s lead, a significant portion of delegates remain undecided. The survey found that 20 per cent of respondents were either undecided or declined to disclose their voting preference.
The poll was conducted through a random computer-assisted telephone interview of about 3,000 delegates.
It showed that Mr Agyapong made a 13 percentage-point gain compared to his November performance, while Dr Bawumia increased his support by two percentage points, moving closer to the 50 per cent threshold.
